My thoughts on some of the major races/referendums after the May 6th North Carolina Primary:
PRESIDENT/DEMOCRATS
Barack Obama winning wasn’t as much of a surprise as the size of his victory. I really thought Hillary Clinton would put up a bigger challenge. The polls reflected that late in the campaign. The governor endorsed her. She, her husband, and daughter made countless stops in North Carolina—especially in the eastern and western parts of the state. Her crowds were strong and enthusiastic. Obviously Barack Obama had the money and the resources to produce a stronger “connection” with the voters (especially African Americans, the wealthy, and the young people). The Reverend Wright and Hillary’s gas tax proposal didn’t appear to hurt or help the candidates respectively.
NC GOVERNOR/DEMOCRATS
No surprise here. Richard Moore’s campaign appeared to crumble right before our eyes over the last week. Bev Perdue looking voters right in the eyes in her campaign ads and telling them she was going “positive” worked. So did Andy Griffith. Moore’s radio and television ads that many described as “race-baiting” failed miserably. I personally think it’s sad two members of the same party and the governor’s council of state had to go this “negative” in the first place.
NC GOVERNOR/REPUBLICANS
This was a nice victory for Guilford County’s own Pat McCrory. Everyone thought this would be really tight last night. It wasn’t. McCrory had the resources to produce and air more television ads than State Senator Fred Smith, and it worked. (I just wish McCrory would have looked the voters in the eyes instead of staring off to the side.) McCrory will have his hands full with Bev Perdue who, I must say, looked very “gubernatorial” last night.
US SENATE/DEMOCRATS
Kay Hagan reached out on television. Jim Neal didn’t. That was the difference. Everyone agrees Hagan will have a much tougher job with Elizabeth Dole who (according to the last poll I saw) has at least a 7 point lead. I doubt we’ll see Dole agree to debate Hagan. So, expect a heavy barrage of TV ads. Dole will go after Hagan’s inexperience. Hagan will go after Dole being seemingly “out of touch” with North Carolina voters. A key for Hagan will be emotionally connecting on television—looking them in the eyes and saying, “I’m Kay Hagan. This is who I am and what I stand for.” That worked for John Edwards when he went up against Lauch Faircloth in 1998. It could work for her.
GUILFORD COUNTY SCHOOL BONDS
This was the way to run an effective campaign for this large a bond package: be open, answer questions, refute criticism, show the need, do television, do internet, hold meetings, appear organized. The opponents lost (in my opinion) because none offered up true solutions to the problems (crowded facilities where students are eating lunch on the hallway floors, more than 1000 new students entering the school system every year…among others). I heard a lot of whining and moaning about higher taxes, a fiscally- inept school board, and minority contractors. None of that criticism was “solution oriented” in the traditional sense. It's one thing to say, "this school board doesn't know how to spend money." It's another to say, "this school board doesn't know how to spend money, but here's how we solve our overcrowding problem...."
GUILFORD COUNTY JAIL BONDS
Convincing voters to spend money on space to house inmates is tough. But I think Guilford County voters finally “got it” that if they didn’t build the new jail this way, the state and/or federal governments would force them to. This package also rolled the tide of what appears to be an increasing crime rate locally. The “our house or your house” campaign line worked.
Now---on to November.
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catamount
May 12, 2008 | 2:58 PM |
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HankHill
May 13, 2008 | 9:45 AM |
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HankHill
May 13, 2008 | 9:46 AM |
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HankHill
May 13, 2008 | 9:47 AM |
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HankHill
May 13, 2008 | 9:48 AM |
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Neill_McNeill
May 13, 2008 | 10:29 AM |
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Neill_McNeill
May 13, 2008 | 10:33 AM |
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catamount
May 13, 2008 | 11:40 AM |
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HankHill
May 13, 2008 | 11:49 AM |
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HankHill
May 13, 2008 | 12:00 PM |
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catamount
May 13, 2008 | 3:32 PM |
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Yes, that's my real name. It's actually a common and historic Scottish name. (Try "google-ing" it and see how many results you get.) In fact, it's my understanding the first McNeill to arrive in North Carolina from Scotland was a "Neill McNeill." I'm a native Tar Heel who's spent the last 20+ years "growing up" at the same television station. I'll try to use this blog to fill you in on some of the inner-workings of local tv news. Here we go----
Member Since: 7/14/2006